The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Brady picking up 44% of the vote, while Quinn earns support from 37%. Eleven percent (11%) prefer a different candidate, and nine percent (9%) are undecided.As is usual for Rasmussen, however, the polling outfit chose not to query those independent thinkers as to which candidate they do indeed support, apparently satisfied that "some other candidate" suffices. At the Examiner, Dennis Brennan reports on the raw numbers:
While 88 percent of Republicans are supporting Brady, only sixty one percent of Democrats are supporting Quinn at this time. More troubling according to the poll is that 23 percent of African American voters say that they will vote for a third party candidate. An amazing 23 percent of African-Americans, 19 percent of moderates, 14 percent of Democrats and women and 10 percent of liberals chose "Some other candidate" in the poll.Brennan reports that the Quinn campaign is worried about the impact Democrat-turned-independent Scott Lee Cohen could have on their chances of success. Yet, from Rasmussen's numbers, there is no way of telling whether Cohen is indeed garnering any amount of support from the people of Illinois. One might just as well postulate that Green Party candidate Rich Whitney has effectively broken through the 10% barrier. In June, Public Policy Polling (.pdf) found that Whitney was garnering about 9% support in the race. Or Cohen and Whitney could be competing for the votes of one 1 out of 5 African Americans and moderates and 1 out of 10 liberals. Or maybe these folks have come to support Libertarian Lex Green or Constitution Party candidate Michael White, or some combination of all of them. With Rasmussen as our guide we'll never know.
One wonders just how much support "some other candidate" would have to poll for Rasmussen to consider asking its respondents who exactly this other candidate is. 20%? 30%? 50%?
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